The ace in Linux' hole may go beyond a free and open nature to something more businesses will demand from everything they depend on: transparency.
Last Friday I had lunch with my friend,
Jim Sterne, one
of those rare marketing guys who deals in the concrete rather than
the abstract. Jim is about as BS-free a marketing guy as you can find.
Among other things, he has written a pile of practical books that
pull no punches about what doesn't work, while providing plenty of
practical wisdom about what does.
We spent much of the meal cowondering about why
so many CEOs talk about "accountability" and say they
value hard facts, yet show limited interest in what their companies
actually do on the Net. Yes, it's nice they finally recognize that
having a web site is a good thing, like having a lobby and adequate
visitor parking. But beyond that, they're worse than clueless--they're
contented with that state.
In his new book ,
Web
Metrics: Proven Methods for Measuring Web Site Success, Jim
makes the case for accountability, measurement, ROI, best practices,
economies of scale and so on. He also gives practical advice not only
for delivering those values but for convincing the upper parts of
the org chart there's a need for them-- kind of like
the infantry telling the brass there's a war going on.
Earlier that day I spoke on the phone with
Marc Canter, another industry veteran. Marc's a
talented guy: too polyhedral a peg to fit in a hole of any shape. You
might remember him as the founder of Macromind, now Macromedia. The
first time I saw Marc, sometime back in 80s, he was singing
beautifully. He was also busy creating authoring tools
that would relieve both he and his customers of the need to program
machine code. The result, in addition to Macromind Director and
other products, was a bunch of ideas about "multimedia"
that departed sadly from his founding influence.
We talked about all
kinds of stuff, but two things stand out in my notes. One is that
Marc said he likes hiring people over 40 because their high-mileage
wisdom and long-term perspectives are necessary for a company's
durable success. The other was that we both (as post-40 guys) saw
three famous crashes from three consecutive decades as part of the
same trend toward full corporate awakening.
The first crash was the savings and loan crash
in the mid-80s. The second was the dot-com crash at the end of the
90s. And the third is the current meltdown of companies like Enron
and WorldCom, whose departed value was largely derived from
accounting opacities.
Several weeks ago I had lunch in London with
another marketing guy,
Chris Macrae,
son of the economist
Norman Macrae
and another tireless evangelist of good marketing sense. A lot of
what Chris says may be wordy and vague, but I love that the guy
thinks out loud about stuff that matters. Lately he has been wrestling
publicly with the issue of transparency.
As it happens I've been thinking lately that the
real virtue of Linux and other forms of infrastructural software--as
well as all the protocols that together make up the Net (which I
talk about in the
latest SuitWatch newsletter)--is not only that
it's open and free, but that it's transparent. It is
see-thru infrastructure. In fact, what makes it
infrastructural is the fact that you can see through it. You
can trust it because it has no secrets. The source of its integrity
may not be obvious to everybody, but it's easy to find, to examine
and even to improve.
This is Linux' appeal not only to budget-minded
companies that recognize the hidden costs of opaque dependencies, but
to whole governments that don't want to depend on anything that isn't
entirely knowable. In
this story about Linux in China from earlier this
year, Matei Mihalca, head of Internet research at Merrill Lynch Asia
Pacific, said "China wants to control its destiny in terms of
the software platform that is used in the country", and he added
that "there is full transparency in terms of the underlying
code" with Linux.
Credit where due: Bill Gates was right to
make a big deal about "trustworthy
computing". And maybe Microsoft is beginning to understand that
some of Linux's appeal is its transparently trustworthy nature. (And
let's also give them points for not trying to squash Ximian's
Mono project and
for planning a booth at LinuxWorld Expo.)
In his memo (link above), Bill says,
"Trustworthy Computing is computing that is as available,
reliable and secure as electricity, water services and
telephony." We should note that all those services are pure
infrastructure whose workings are mostly transparent. Yet for all its
popularity, Windows lacks that same transparency, which makes it
inherently less infrastructural. It's an interesting issue. Opacity
may be a virtue of commercial software and drive its value, but
ultimately it disqualifies that software as deep infrastructure. The
questions for software companies everywhere will increasingly be:
What transparent goods do we ubiquitize (or help ubiquitize) as
foundational infrastructure? What opaque stuff can we sell
as products that run on that infrastructure? For companies
accustomed to controlling whole markets by creating dependencies on
opaque code, that's a tough choice, but it's one that must be
made.
By contrast, Apple has moved ahead of the curve by
taking advantage of foundational transparencies everywhere it can
find them: BSD (borrowed for Darwin, the open-source form of UNIX
on which OS X is built), 802.11b, Jabber,
ZeroConf,
FireWire and everything else it can either create and share or borrow
to help ubiquitize. Whatever else one might say about the company,
it's clear they grok the transparency issue in a strategic
way.
So I'm beginning to think that transparency is the
issue to bet on. Customers have always wanted it. Employees
have always been uncomfortable (or at least inconvenienced) by the
opacity imperative, as well as the whole
cult of secrecy that accounts for countless corporate
strategies. But most significantly, stockholders are finally--thanks
to Enron and WorldCom--fed up with opaque accounting
practices.
How long will it take before they get equally as fed
up with opaque infrastructural software?
(I'll look for your answers in the comments section
below. But also feel free to carry the conversation over to the
Stealthy Business Linux Forum. I'll be
doing the same.)
Doc Searls is senior editor of Linux Journal.